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	<title>CRDO &#8211; Stock Earnings</title>
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		<title>Wall Street Focused On The Wrong Risk In Credo’s Q4 Earnings</title>
		<link>https://cms.stocksearning.com/2026/06/credo-earnings-confuse-wall-street/</link>
					<comments>https://cms.stocksearning.com/2026/06/credo-earnings-confuse-wall-street/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Grayson Cavern]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Jun 2026 15:30:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Post-Earnings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CRDO]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://cms.stocksearning.com/?p=2246</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The question for investors is whether Credo can transform extraordinary demand from a few customers into durable dependence across many?]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<p>During the California Gold Rush, most prospectors went home empty-handed. The businesses that lasted weren’t digging for gold. They sold the tools, equipment, and infrastructure everyone else needed to keep digging. And now, every major technology boom seems to produce the same dynamic.</p>



<div class="wp-block-rank-math-toc-block" id="rank-math-toc"><h2>Table of Contents</h2><nav><ul><li><a href="#the-margin-story-doesnt-explain-the-business">The Margin Story Doesn’t Explain The Business</a></li><li><a href="#credo-technology-aka-ai-cornerstone">Credo Technology, aka AI Cornerstone</a></li><li><a href="#investors-need-proof-to-remain-believers">Investors Need Proof To Remain Believers</a></li><li><a href="#who-controls-credos-revenue">Who Controls Credo’s Revenue?</a></li></ul></nav></div>



<p>One of such, which is at the heart of AI infrastructure, is <strong><a href="https://stocksearning.com/stocks/CRDO/earnings-date">Credo Technology Group (NASDAQ: CRDO)</a></strong>. Now, <a href="https://investors.credosemi.com/news-events/news/news-details/2026/Credo-Technology-Group-Holding-Ltd-Reports-Fourth-Quarter-and-Fiscal-Year-2026-Financial-Results/default.aspx" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Credo reported fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings </a>with revenue of $437 million, up 157% from a year ago. Non-GAAP earnings per share came in at $1.16, while fiscal-year revenue surpassed $1.3 billion and non-GAAP net income reached $662 million. Yet much of the post-earnings discussion revolved around gross margin slipping from 68.6% in the prior quarter to 68.3%.</p>



<p>I understand why investors noticed it. I just don’t think that’s where the real risk sits.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="the-margin-story-doesnt-explain-the-business">The Margin Story Doesn’t Explain The Business</h2>



<p>Imagine explaining this Q4 earnings to someone without mentioning the stock’s reaction.</p>



<p><a href="https://investors.credosemi.com/news-events/news/news-details/2026/Credo-Technology-Group-Holding-Ltd-Reports-Fourth-Quarter-and-Fiscal-Year-2026-Financial-Results/default.aspx" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Revenue up 157%. EPS up more than 230%. Fiscal-year revenue more than tripled. Cash and investments approaching $1.4 billion.</a></p>



<p>Most people would assume the market loved the report.</p>



<p>Instead, investors spent much of their time debating a 30-basis-point decline in gross margin and signs that sequential growth may not remain explosive forever.</p>



<p>That tells you that the market is no longer asking whether AI infrastructure spending is strong. What they are asking is how long growth like this can continue.</p>



<p>That’s a fair question. Hypergrowth eventually slows for every company.</p>



<p>But look at where Credo sits inside the AI stack.</p>



<p>The company doesn’t build foundation models. It doesn’t operate cloud platforms. It doesn’t manufacture the GPUs, attracting most of the headlines. Credo operates in the connectivity layer, helping move enormous amounts of data across increasingly complex AI systems.</p>



<p>As AI clusters become larger and more powerful, the challenge isn’t simply generating intelligence. It’s moving data efficiently between thousands of interconnected components without creating bottlenecks.</p>



<p>That’s the role Credo is trying to play. And understanding that could help us see why the market may be focusing on the wrong risk.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="credo-technology-aka-ai-cornerstone">Credo Technology, aka AI Cornerstone</h2>



<p>One reason technology investors often miss major shifts is that they focus on demand before they focus on dependency. There’s a difference.</p>



<p>A company benefiting from a trend can grow rapidly for a period of time. But a company becoming necessary to that trend operates under a completely different set of economics.</p>



<p>Look at Credo&#8217;s progression across fiscal 2026.</p>



<p><a href="https://investors.credosemi.com/news-events/news/news-details/2025/Credo-Technology-Group-Holding-Ltd-Reports-First-Quarter-of-Fiscal-Year-2026-Financial-Results/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">First-quarter revenue came in around $170 million</a>.</p>



<p><a href="https://investors.credosemi.com/news-events/news/news-details/2025/Credo-Technology-Group-Holding-Ltd-Reports-Second-Quarter-of-Fiscal-Year-2026-Financial-Results/default.aspx" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Second-quarter revenue slowed to roughly $130 million.</a></p>



<p>Then <a href="https://investors.credosemi.com/news-events/news/news-details/2026/Credo-Technology-Group-Holding-Ltd-Reports-Third-Quarter-of-Fiscal-Year-2026-Financial-Results/default.aspx" target="_blank" rel="noopener">revenue exploded to $407 million in the third quarter</a> before <a href="https://investors.credosemi.com/news-events/news/news-details/2026/Credo-Technology-Group-Holding-Ltd-Reports-Fourth-Quarter-and-Fiscal-Year-2026-Financial-Results/default.aspx" target="_blank" rel="noopener">climbing again to $437 million in the fourth, a 157% jump.</a></p>



<p>Granted, that looks like an AI spending story. But the more I studied management’s commentary, the more it looked like an infrastructure story.</p>



<p>Executives repeatedly discussed helping customers maximize GPU utilization, accelerate cluster deployment, improve reliability, and reduce overall infrastructure costs. Those aren’t fringe benefits. They’re problems hyperscale customers must solve as AI systems become larger and more expensive.</p>



<p>Which raises an interesting question: as AI infrastructure spending expands over the next several years, does connectivity become less important? Or does it become more important?</p>



<p>The answer seems obvious. The larger the cluster, the more valuable efficient connectivity becomes.</p>



<p>That’s why I think Credo’s long-term opportunity may be more durable than many investors realize.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="investors-need-proof-to-remain-believers">Investors Need Proof To Remain Believers</h2>



<p>After spending months trapped between roughly $100 and $190, Credo Technology Group (NASDAQ: CRDO) broke out decisively in April and never looked back. Even the sharp pullback in late May failed to break the stock’s rising trend, with buyers stepping in near the 50-day moving average before driving shares back above $240.&nbsp;</p>



<p>Then came earnings. Revenue surged 157%, guidance called for another year of massive growth, and yet the stock finished down 4.2% on more than 13 million shares. That reaction feels less like panic and more like profit-taking after a near 150% rally from the April lows. Momentum remains firmly bullish, with the stock trading well above its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages.&nbsp;</p>



<p>Right now, the market may be demanding perfection, but the trend still suggests investors view every pullback as an opportunity rather than a warning sign.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" width="600" height="245" data-source="article-image" src="https://cms.stocksearning.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/image-600x245.png" alt="credo - StockEarnings" class="wp-image-2247" srcset="https://cms.stocksearning.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/image-600x245.png 600w, https://cms.stocksearning.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/image-300x122.png 300w, https://cms.stocksearning.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/image-768x313.png 768w, https://cms.stocksearning.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/image.png 1270w" sizes="(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px" /></figure>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="who-controls-credos-revenue">Who Controls Credo’s Revenue?</h2>



<p>That doesn’t mean the story is risk-free. Far from it.</p>



<p>In fact, I think the real risk barely appeared in most post-earnings discussions.</p>



<p>I’m talking about Customer concentration. The company disclosed that four customers accounted for about 87% of the quarterly revenue.</p>



<p>That’s where my attention goes. Not because those customers are weak. The issue here is leverage.</p>



<p>When a handful of customers represent such a large percentage of revenue, future growth becomes heavily influenced by a small number of purchasing decisions. One delayed deployment, one supplier change, one shift in architecture, or one spending pause can have an outsized impact on results.</p>



<p>And that creates the central tension surrounding Credo today.</p>



<p>The business appears to be moving beyond the role of an AI beneficiary and toward becoming part of the infrastructure supporting the entire buildout. The figures support that argument. Revenue growth, earnings growth, profitability, and cash generation all point in the same direction.</p>



<p>At the same time, while most investors worry about 30 basis points of margin pressure. I’m asking whether Credo can transform extraordinary demand from a few customers into durable dependence across many, just as I add to my positions.</p>



<p></p>
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		<title>Bet Big on Small-Cap Stocks with ETFs</title>
		<link>https://cms.stocksearning.com/2026/02/bet-on-small-cap-stocks-with-etfs/</link>
					<comments>https://cms.stocksearning.com/2026/02/bet-on-small-cap-stocks-with-etfs/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ian Cooper]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 Feb 2026 12:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Evergreen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AFRM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ATO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CRDO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IONQ]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IWM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NRG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PSTG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RDDT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RMBS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SCHA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SoFi]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[VB]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://cms.stocksearning.com/?p=1078</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Small-cap stocks will be the biggest potential beneficiaries of future rate cuts. Here are three ETFs that can provide exposure with less volatility.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<p>The Russell 2000, otherwise known as the small-cap index, is making all-time highs.&nbsp;At its January 2026 peak, the index was up 8%, meaning small-cap stocks were on pace for their strongest start to a year in nearly four decades. </p>



<div class="wp-block-rank-math-toc-block" id="rank-math-toc"><h2>Table of Contents</h2><nav><ul><li><a href="#the-other-side-of-small-cap-stocks">The Other Side of Small-Cap Stocks</a></li><li><a href="#small-cap-et-fs-can-help-manage-risk">Small-Cap ETFs Can Help Manage Risk</a></li><li><a href="#vanguard-small-cap-etf-vb">Vanguard Small-Cap ETF (VB)</a></li><li><a href="#i-shares-russell-2000-etf-iwm">iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)</a></li><li><a href="#scwab-u-s-small-cap-etf-scha">Scwab U.S. Small-Cap ETF (SCHA)</a></li><li><a href="#the-last-word-on-investing-in-small-cap-stocks">The Last Word on Investing in Small-Cap Stocks</a></li></ul></nav></div>



<p>This surge is being fueled by a combination of improving earnings expectations, the prospect of additional interest rate cuts, and ongoing signs of strength in the U.S. economy.</p>



<p>Small-cap stocks are particularly sensitive to shifts in economic conditions and Federal Reserve policy. As CNBC recently noted, these companies tend to generate more of their revenue domestically, making them more responsive to U.S. growth trends.</p>



<p>History also favors small-cap stocks in easing-rate environments. Because many smaller companies rely more heavily on debt financing, lower interest rates can significantly reduce borrowing costs and improve access to capital. That dynamic can translate into stronger balance sheets and improved profitability. For these reasons, many investors view small-cap stocks as among the biggest potential beneficiaries of future rate cuts.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="the-other-side-of-small-cap-stocks">The Other Side of Small-Cap Stocks</h2>



<p>However, if you like to pick your own stocks, that becomes more challenging with small-cap stocks. Many of these stocks are penny stocks, which means they trade at or below $5. Some even trade below $1 (literally penny stocks). </p>



<p>The ability to accumulate a substantial amount of shares at a low price can be appealing. Particularly, if you believe the share price will go much higher. However, many of these stocks are low-priced because they have very little revenue and are not profitable. </p>



<p>That can make owning these stocks more like gambling or buying a lottery ticket. Great if they work out, not so great if they don&#8217;t. </p>



<p>Also, many small-cap stocks have very little analyst coverage and little institutional ownership. That means these stocks can be too volatile for risk-averse investors. </p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="small-cap-et-fs-can-help-manage-risk">Small-Cap ETFs Can Help Manage Risk</h2>



<p>A simple way to manage the risk and volatility of small-cap stocks is by owning exchange-traded funds (ETFs). These funds hold a basket of stocks that track specific indexes. </p>



<p>Investors get exposure to dozens of stocks within the fund, and the holdings are balanced on a quarterly basis, so investors don&#8217;t have concerns about timing the market. </p>



<p>With that backdrop in mind, here are three small-cap ETFs worth considering.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="vanguard-small-cap-etf-vb">Vanguard Small-Cap ETF (VB)</h2>



<p>The <strong>Vanguard Small-Cap ETF (NYSEARCA: VB)</strong> tracks the CRSP U.S. Small Cap Index and holds 1,336 stocks. The fund&#8217;s holdings include <strong><a href="https://stocksearning.com/stocks/SOFI/earnings-date">SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ: SOFI)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://stocksearning.com/stocks/NRG/earnings-date">NRG Energy (NYSE: NRG)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://stocksearning.com/stocks/ATO/earnings-date">Atmos Energy (NYSE: ATO)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://stocksearning.com/stocks/RDDT/earnings-date">Reddit Inc. (NYSE: RDDT)</a></strong>, and <strong><a href="https://stocksearning.com/stocks/PSTG/earnings-date">Pure Storage (NYSE: PSTG)</a></strong>.</p>



<p>One of the most attractive features of the fund is its low expense ratio of just 0.05%. VB also pays a quarterly dividend. Most recently, it distributed just over $0.92 per share on Dec. 24, 2025, following a payout of more than $0.80 on Oct. 1, 2025. </p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="i-shares-russell-2000-etf-iwm">iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)</h2>



<p>The<strong> iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSEARCA: IWM)</strong> offers direct exposure to U.S. small-cap companies. The fund tracks the Russell 2000 Index and has a low expense ratio of 0.19%. The <a href="https://www.ishares.com/us/products/239710/?referrer=tickerSearch" target="_blank" rel="noopener">fund holds 1,965 stocks</a>, including <strong><a href="https://stocksearning.com/stocks/CRDO/earnings-date">Credo Technology (NASDAQ: CRDO)</a></strong>,<a href="https://stocksearning.com/stocks/BE/earnings-date"> <strong>Bloom Energy (NYSE: BE)</strong></a>, <strong><a href="https://stocksearning.com/stocks/IONQ/earnings-date">IonQ Inc. (NYSE: IONQ)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://stocksearning.com/stocks/FN/earnings-date">Fabrinet (NYSE: FN)</a></strong>, and <strong><a href="https://stocksearning.com/stocks/RMBS/earnings-date">Rambus (NASDAQ: RMBS)</a></strong>.</p>



<p>IWM also pays a quarterly dividend, with its most recent payment exceeding $0.84 per share on Dec. 19, 2025. Prior to that, it paid just over $0.67 on Sept. 19. 2025. </p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="scwab-u-s-small-cap-etf-scha">Scwab U.S. Small-Cap ETF (SCHA)</h2>



<p>With one of the lowest expense ratios in the category at 0.04%, the <strong>Schwab U.S. Small-Cap ETF (NYSEARCA: SCHA)</strong> tracks the Dow Jones U.S. Small-Cap Total Stock Market Index. The <a href="https://www.schwabassetmanagement.com/resource/scha-fact-sheet" target="_blank" rel="noopener">fund holds 1,687 stocks</a>, including <strong>Reddit</strong>, <strong>Credo Technology</strong>, <strong><a href="https://stocksearning.com/stocks/AFRM/earnings-date">Affirm Holdings (NASDAQ: AFRM)</a></strong>, <strong>Bloom Energy</strong>, and <strong>IonQ Inc</strong>.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="the-last-word-on-investing-in-small-cap-stocks">The Last Word on Investing in Small-Cap Stocks</h2>



<p>With the Russell 2000 at record highs and monetary policy potentially turning more accommodative, small-cap stocks appear well-positioned to benefit from a favorable economic backdrop. </p>



<p>Improving earnings expectations, easing financial conditions, and strong domestic exposure all support the case for continued momentum in the space. For investors looking to gain diversified exposure while keeping costs low, ETFs like VB, IWM, and SCHA offer efficient ways to participate in a potential small-cap tailwind as rate cuts move closer into view.</p>
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